Politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/politics.php politics, defense and intelligence issues en admin@gedankenexperiment.dk Copyright 2012 Pivot Pivot - 1.40.6: 'Dreadwind' Fri, 03 Feb 2012 08:14:37 -0800 60 Why Are We Still Building Roads? http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=843&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=843&w=politics#comm
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Shouldn't the Afghans by this point be able to provide their own security to those building roads? How can anyone from this or the prior administration look those families in the eye and say 'building these few miles of road was worth the life of your son (or daughter)"

Copyright 2004-2011 by Gedanken Experiment (previously Rant Street), all rights reserved. Full terms of use at www.gedankenexperiment.dk ]]>
843@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Tue, 29 Nov 2011 16:35:00 -0800
A Pathetic Endorsement http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=842&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=842&w=politics#comm NH Union Leader endorsed Newt Gingrich in the Republic presidential primary today. Our issue is not so much that they select one candidate over another - but we do have problems when they make statements like this to justify their selection:

Readers of the Union Leader and Sunday News know that we don't back candidates based on popularity polls or big-shot backers. We look for conservatives of courage and conviction who are independent-minded, grounded in their core beliefs about this nation and its people, and best equipped for the job.

Courage and conviction? Newt? Are they serious? Next to Romney there is no candidate who has flipped-flopped more on the issues and there is certainly none who is more tainted by scandal (House, FNM/FRE). Gingrich has shown anything but strong convictions on key conservative issues - just look at his public dissing of the Ryan plan last spring as the most recent egregious example. And if sitting down to do an advert with Nancy Pelosi on climate change is courageous, thanks, we'll pass.

Which leads us to another statement in their editorial endorsement:
We don't have to agree with them on every issue. We would rather back someone with whom we may sometimes disagree than one who tells us what he thinks we want to hear.

Really? You couldn't find one other candidate who you may have disagreed with on one issue, who may have told you something you did not want to hear and had both courage and rock solid conservative convictions?

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842@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Sun, 27 Nov 2011 13:21:00 -0800
Eisenhower http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=841&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=841&w=politics#comm



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841@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Tue, 22 Nov 2011 19:37:00 -0800
Cain: Is This Really Your Guy? http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=840&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=840&w=politics#comm Elect this man at your own risk!

Comment starts at 40s


So with that hoof in mouth, Cain followed up with this gem:

Comment starts at 1m24s


China's last nuclear test was in July, 1996. Sorry Herman, you can only "misspeak" so many times before you use up all your mulligans.

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840@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Thu, 03 Nov 2011 15:52:00 -0800
Debt "Deal" : Complete Joke http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=837&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=837&w=politics#comm
Below is a chart provided by Reason.com showing the rates of increase in federal outlays since 2001 in real 2010 dollars based on data from the OMB. They appear to be in line with OMB data which are presented in nominal and 2005 dollars.
Clearly, it looks like the Federal government has been on a huge spending binge since 2001. And while it is certainly true things like the prescription drug program, no child left behind, etc have indeed boosted base level spending, I want to consider another way to look at this data.

First, remove Social Security from the table and then tally up the remaining outlays. Doing so, growth from 2001 to 2010 (in real 2010 dollars) was 66.3%. But why are we accepting the standard deflator as the determiner of the inflation adjusted outlays? If we look at that 66.3% figure, it can also be interpreted as a 5.7% compounded growth rate in excess of the inflation rate used by Reason and OMB which is based upon the government provided CPI.

Yet, most people realize the short comings of the CPI index and it is generally accepted that it has substantially under reported the actual inflation rate. In fact, groups such as Shadow Government Statistics provide alternative inflation measures. such as using the CPI methodology used by the federal government in 1990. We are not a subscriber so can't tell you the actual growth rate they report from 2001 to 2010 but a simple eyeballing of their free charts shows an average rate of 7.5% is reasonable.

That estimate of 7.5% is 5.25% in excess of the growth rate using the current CPI methodology of 2.25%. This compares very favorably to the 5.7% excess growth rate calculated earlier.

Looking at the figures this way makes it clear that our debt problems are not just from a failure to acknowledge our government spends too much but also a denial of the real rate of inflation (which is intertwined with that spending.) A continuation of the Fed's zero interest rate policy can only make this situation far worse and a return to a normal policy, or better yet - market based interest rates, must be part of any budgetary solution, assuming Washington can even reach a point where a "cut" is a real reduction in spending and not just the rate of increase in spending.

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837@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Mon, 01 Aug 2011 13:24:00 -0800
Mad As Hell ... http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=836&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=836&w=politics#comm

1) Lawrence Lindsey exposes the elephant in the room no one in Congress or the media is willing to speak of:
First, a normalization of interest rates would upend any budgetary deal if and when one should occur. At present, the average cost of Treasury borrowing is 2.5%. The average over the last two decades was 5.7%. Should we ramp up to the higher number, annual interest expenses would be roughly $420 billion higher in 2014 and $700 billion higher in 2020.

The 10-year rise in interest expense would be $4.9 trillion higher under "normalized" rates than under the current cost of borrowing. Compare that to the $2 trillion estimate of what the current talks about long-term deficit reduction may produce, and it becomes obvious that the gains from the current deficit-reduction efforts could be wiped out by normalization in the bond market. Source:WSJ.com

Still think the US is not bankrupt?

2- At the confirmation hearings for the new general in charge of the Afghanistan operation:
Marine Lt. Gen. John Allen said the drawdown will impress on Afghan leaders that they must urgently grow their own security forces to take over as U.S. troops leave.

In a questionnaire prepared for the Senate Armed Services Committee hearing Tuesday on his nomination to take the command post, Allen warned, however, that success in Afghanistan is threatened by a significant lack of military trainers and mentoring teams for the Afghan Army and police. Source:AP wire

After a decade our efforts are so incompetent (or ignorant, your choice) that we still are unable to properly train and equip (and pay) a competent Afghan national army and police force? And just how many Americans have entered military service, beeen trained, gone to war and been promoted through the ranks in that same time frame?

3- The head of the central bank of Afghanistan has fled the country in fear for his life:
Abdul Qadeer Fitrat, the governor of Afghanistan's central bank, resigned his position and fled the country, saying that the government interfered in his corruption investigation into Kabul Bank. He said that he left Afghanistan after receiving reports from "credible sources" that his life was in danger due to the investigation. He is now in the United States, where he has residency.

Kabul Bank, which is used by the Afghan government to pay funds to its security forces, nearly collapsed last year amid reports that it had inappropriately granted hundreds of millions of loans to politically well-connected Afghans. The bank was bailed out in September and came under the control of the central bank, placing Fitrat in charge of an investigation into the reasons behind the debacle. Source: FP.com

So not only are our service men and women being killed and maimed, we are knowingly funding one of, if not the, most corrupt governments in the world. Brilliant! Remind me again why we are still in Afghanistan a decade after 2001?

4- A few days older and a bit under the bridge at this point is word from Iraq:
Osama al-Nujaifi, the Iraqi parliament speaker, has told Al Jazeera that the amount of Iraqi money unaccounted for by the US is $18.7bn - three times more than the reported $6.6bn. Just before departing for a visit to the US, al-Nujaifi said that he has received a report this week based on information from US and Iraqi auditors that the amount of money withdrawn from a fund from Iraqi oil proceeds, but unaccounted for, is much more than the $6.6bn reported missing last week.

"There is a lot of money missing during the first American administration of Iraqi money in the first year of occupation. "Iraq's development fund has lost around $18bn of Iraqi money in these operations - their location is unknown. Also missing are the documents of expenditure. "I think it will be discussed soon. There should be an answer to where has Iraqi money gone."

The Bush administration flew in a total of $20bn in cash into the country in 2004. This was money that had come from Iraqi oil sales, surplus funds from the UN oil-for-food programme and seized Iraqi assets. Officials in Iraq were supposed to give out the money to Iraqi ministries and US contractors, intended for the reconstruction of the country. Source: Al Jazeera

Why not just burn the money instead?





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836@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Tue, 28 Jun 2011 11:23:00 -0800
Non-Interventionists Vs. McCain and Co. http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=835&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=835&w=politics#comm plans to win! the war force us to question his reasoning ability. Were this 2003 or 2004 perhaps we could say reasonable minds could disagree. But not in 2011 after so many have written not just on our failures but also our follies in that country. Even this morning came word via AP of a leaked NIE:
An American intelligence analysis finds tangible results from U.S. special operations raids and outreach to Afghan villages, but larger efforts such as spending billions of dollars to install a credible central government are lagging, The Associated Press has learned.
...
The National Intelligence Estimate gives low marks to some parts of the counterinsurgency campaign designed by Gen. David Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan. (...) But three U.S. officials who have read the analysis and described it to the AP say it notes far less progress on developing Afghan security forces that can hold their own or on installing a government that's able to serve its people.

Where conventional troops withdraw, the Taliban are able to infiltrate, the officials said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters. Source: AP
Others, such as Bing West, have also noted our decadal failure to train a competent Afghan army and also the sense of entitlement our fiscal largess has created.

Would two more fighting seasons with 100,000 US troops in theater accomplish anything? Would the death of 10,000 or 20,000 or 50,000 more Taliban matter? According to Wikipedia, we've already taken out about 40,000 in 10 years. What McCain and Graham and the other intervention hawks are lacking is reason. They also argue we should not leave because so many of our soldiers have been killed or wounded. In the business world that would be called a sunk cost and would not be considered in the decision to close a plant or business where what matters is the future costs.

George Will had an excellent column up today on the interventionists and is well worth a read:
McCain, however, says we must achieve regime change in Libya because if Gaddafi survives, he will try to “harm” America. This is always the last argument for pressing on with imprudent interventions (see Vietnam, circa 1969): We must continue fighting because we started fighting.

Sen. Lindsey Graham — Sancho Panza to McCain’s Don Quixote — says “Congress should sort of shut up” about Libya. This ukase might make more sense if Congress had said anything institutionally about Libya. Source:Washington Post


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835@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Thu, 23 Jun 2011 18:04:00 -0800
Calls for Impeachment http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=833&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=833&w=politics#comm
We suspect (and pretty much expect) that Reps. Paul and Kucinich will jointly sponsor a resolution and that it will be submitted for consideration tomorrow. Practicalities though will prevent any real discussion of it until the 30 day end of mission period has passed. It will be interesting to see if Boehner has the balls to bring an impeachment resolution to the floor (doesn't it just get referred to the judiciary committee?) Also interesting to see will be if Obama so desires Libya that he trades a resolution funding and permitting US involvement for the spending cuts the Republicans are demanding to pass an increase in the debt ceiling.

What ever happens, Obama is going to take a beating in the press - which lately seems to fawn over him less and less.

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833@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Fri, 20 May 2011 14:06:00 -0800
Coercive Interrogation Hurts, Not Helps (?) http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=830&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=830&w=politics#comm
I stumbled upon a very good piece on this subject via a link at Zerohedge.com While generally suspicious of anything at Huffington Post, this article is well sourced. And while it does stray (predictably) into some Iraq War politics, the general conclusion seems valid: torture does not work and in fact, torture can hinder intelligence collection. One wonders how much the US left on the table by doing things the wrong way.

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830@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Tue, 10 May 2011 17:45:00 -0800
Obama Lied, People Died http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=829&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=829&w=politics#comm
But Human Rights Watch has released data on Misurata, the next-biggest city in Libya and scene of protracted fighting, revealing that Moammar Khadafy is not deliberately massacring civilians but rather narrowly targeting the armed rebels who fight against his government.

Misurata’s population is roughly 400,000. In nearly two months of war, only 257 people — including combatants — have died there. Of the 949 wounded, only 22 — less than 3 percent — are women. If Khadafy were indiscriminately targeting civilians, women would comprise about half the casualties.

Obama insisted that prospects were grim without intervention. “If we waited one more day, Benghazi . . . could suffer a massacre that would have reverberated across the region and stained the conscience of the world.’’ Thus, the president concluded, “preventing genocide’’ justified US military action.

But intervention did not prevent genocide, because no such bloodbath was in the offing. To the contrary, by emboldening rebellion, US interference has prolonged Libya’s civil war and the resultant suffering of innocents.
Source:Boston Globe


So... will there be rallies in the streets this weekend against the on-going illegal war in Libya? Oh that's right - when its our guy, its ok for the Dems, progressives in particular, to stay home. And heaven forbid they make any signs that call Obama a fascist, give him a Hitler mustache or accuse him of waging illegal war for the sake of oil. Not a chance. Perhaps they are a new species... a Shemming.. half sheep and half lemming. That's the only semi-rational explanation for following Obama blindly into this abyss.

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829@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Thu, 14 Apr 2011 12:21:00 -0800
Boehner: Resign Now http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=828&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=828&w=politics#comm Source:house.gov
In fact, the entire House leadership should resign today now that AP has taken a detailed look at the $38B so called budget cuts for 2011. Andrew Taylor writes:
WASHINGTON – The historic $38 billion in budget cuts resulting from at-times hostile bargaining between Congress and the Obama White House were accomplished in large part by pruning money left over from previous years, using accounting sleight of hand and going after programs President Barack Obama had targeted anyway. ....

The details of the agreement reached late Friday night just ahead of a deadline for a partial government shutdown reveal a lot of one-time savings and cuts that officially "score" as cuts to pay for spending elsewhere, but often have little to no actual impact on the deficit.
Source: AP wire
This goes well beyond embarassment. This is an insult to the voters who put the Republicans in charge of the House. In fact, let's be more blunt: the Speaker along with the rest of the leadership, outright lied to the American people. What they passed off as cuts (already far smaller than any had wished) which would have a long term positive effect on the deficit is nothing more than smoke and mirrors. This is the Washington elites at their best. Leave, leave now!

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828@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Tue, 12 Apr 2011 11:27:00 -0800
Crackalicious http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=827&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=827&w=politics#comm U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham said today that the way to end the war in Libya is to bomb Moammar Gadhafi’s top aides. “You don’t need ground troops, but we should take the aerial campaign to Tripoli to go after Gadhafi’s inner circle,” Graham said on CBS' Face the Nation. “We are going to have a stalemate if we don’t change our strategy,” Graham said. “The strategy should be to help the rebels help themselves, to provide arms when it makes sense.” “When we called for a no-fly zone we didn’t mean our planes,” Graham said. Graham said he respects America’s NATO allies but grounding U.S. planes will prolong the war. “I want it to end quickly with one goal in mind, replacing Gadhafi by something that will be better,” he said. “His inner circle is in a bit of disarray. They’d be in more disarray if we took the fight to Tripoli. Source:Gannett/CBS NewsApparently the French, Brits and others can't bomb fast enough for Senator Graham therefore the US must waste millions, if not billions, more to do it ourself. But more to the point was the shocking news that Senator Graham knows that replacing the current government of Libya (Col. Q.) with the Rebels is clearly a better thing! It's amazing isn't it? That the Senator from S. Carolina has some type of Vulcan mind-meld with the Rebel leadership such that he can determine that they would be better while the rest of the US IC and government can't even tell you who is in charge (if anyone)!

Meanwhile, Senator McCain and his sidekick little Joe had this to say:
"The fact is that Gadaffi said he'd go house to house and kill people, and thankfully at the 11th hour with the quote-unquote 'no fly zone,' we prevented that," McCain said. "This is a moment of historic proportions, and this will give us a moment of opportunity to help with the spread of democracy."

"If [Syrian President Bashar] Assad does what Gadaffi was doing, which was threatening to go house to house and kill people who don't agree with him, then there's a precedent that the world has set, and the right one," Lieberman said. "In doing so, we're being consistent with our American values." Source:Fox News
I wonder if the Senator from Arizona would feel the same way if 'protesters' against the US government, regardless of branch, armed with RPG's, various machine guns, mortars and other artilery had started a march on Washington DC, perhaps going through Philadelphia and Baltimore on the way? Journalists have repeatedly asked Obama for the intelligence or other proof that Col. Q. intended to kill innocent civilians in a massacre door to door to stamp out the rebels. None has been forthcoming. Perhaps that is because there is none? The statement which Obama claims triggered the intervention specifically said only those who were armed would be targeted. Maybe that was lost in the mistranslation.

As to Little Joe, 2012 and your departure from the Senate can't come fast enough. You have now committed the US to intervene in Ivory Coast, Sudan, Somalia, Yemen, Syria, Bahrain, Iran, China, N. Korea..... So much for peace right? One can only hope you relocate to Israel and take your war-mongering show with you.

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827@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Mon, 04 Apr 2011 12:51:00 -0800
Obama, Clinton Guilty of Material Support of a Terrorist Organization http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=826&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=826&w=politics#comm piece concerning the potential legality of the Obama Administration arming the Libyan 'rebels', questions raised at Firedoglake and The American Prospect.

In fact, President Obama, Secretary of State Clinton and a host of other US government officials are already guilty of violations of Federal statutes which criminalize even the most benign assistance to a designated terrorist organization. More fully,
It is unlawful for a person in the United States or subject to the jurisdiction of the United States to knowingly provide "material support or resources" to a designated FTO. (The term "material support or resources" is defined in 18 U.S.C. § 2339A(b)(1) as " any property, tangible or intangible, or service, including currency or monetary instruments or financial securities, financial services, lodging, training, expert advice or assistance, safehouses, false documentation or identification, communications equipment, facilities, weapons, lethal substances, explosives, personnel (1 or more individuals who maybe or include oneself), and transportation, except medicine or religious materials.” 18 U.S.C. § 2339A(b)(2) provides that for these purposes “the term ‘training’ means instruction or teaching designed to impart a specific skill, as opposed to general knowledge.” 18 U.S.C. § 2339A(b)(3) further provides that for these purposes the term ‘expert advice or assistance’ means advice or assistance derived from scientific, technical or other specialized knowledge.’’

As of November 24, 2010 the Dept. of State list of terrorist organizations includes, at position #26:

Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG)

And who are the LIFG? Per Wikipedia:
The Libyan Fighting Group (LIFG) also known as Al-Jama’a al-Islamiyyah al-Muqatilah bi-Libya is the most powerful radical faction waging Jihad in Libya against Colonel Muammar al-Gaddafi's regime. Shortly after the 9-11 attacks, LIFG was banned worldwide (as an affiliate of al-Qaeda) by the UN 1267 Committee.

It is time to start calling your elected officials as well as the DOJ to request prosecution. As Attorney General Holder made clear in the prosecution of Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project, any support, even counseling how to make peace, is a violation of US law. If so, using the US military to bomb and otherwise destroy the government of Libya's military as they counter attacks by rebel groups including the LIFG should leave no question that Mr. Obama et al. are guilty of willful violation of this statute.

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826@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Wed, 30 Mar 2011 22:34:00 -0800
Lindsey Graham Should Resign http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=825&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=825&w=politics#comm Speaking to senators, Clapper said the Libyan government's military might was stronger than had been described. Clapper said there was no indication that Gadhafi will step down and offer a speedy resolution to the crisis.

"I just think from a standpoint of attrition, that over time, I mean — this is kind of a stalemate back and forth, but I think over the longer term that the (Gadhafi) regime will prevail," Clapper said.

One senator, Republican Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, quickly urged Clapper to resign.

"Unfortunately, this isn't the first questionable comment from the DNI director," Graham said. "However it should be the final straw." ...
Clapper wasn't divulging classified information when he was describing the situation in Libya. The head of the Defense Intelligence Agency, Lt. Gen. Ronald L. Burgess Jr., agreed with Clapper's assessment.

Graham acknowledged that some of Clapper's analysis could be accurate, but he said those remarks should be spoken behind closed doors. Source: AP
Senator Graham's only interest is that the truth as best our government knows it, be hidden from the public. By making such comments secret, Graham and his like minded colleagues are able to trot out in front of the video cameras and say with a straight face how well things are going in Libya/Afghanistan/Iraq, how the 'tide has turned' or how 'with just a bit of help from the most powerful military in the world' things will turn out the way we want them to.

Graham is a disgrace and should resign. At the least, he should be removed from all military and intelligence committees/hearings. The IC was berated in part for not giving frank and realistic assessments to decision makers prior to 9/11 and the Iraq war. Well now we know why.

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825@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Fri, 11 Mar 2011 14:40:00 -0800
A Republican Joke http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=823&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=823&w=politics#comm Republicans set to make $61 billion in 2011 budget cuts says CNN/Money. Pathetic. In round number that we can all understand - thats about 1.5%.


Remember those FedEx commercials from a few years ago? "Doomed! Doomed! Hurry man or we're all doomed!"


This country is doomed without any doubt at all. Just a few months after elections which most thought would usher in an era of fiscal responsibility - beginning with the Republicans - our elected officials have shown once again that they just don't get it. Senator Rand Paul is about to become a very lonely man. As he said, his plan to cut $500B this year would only reduce the deficit by one-third. That appears to be about thirty odd percent too much.

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823@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Tue, 15 Feb 2011 17:53:00 -0800
Required Reading on Egypt http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=821&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=821&w=politics#comm Egypt as a Failing State: Implications for US National Security (pdf)does a good job of providing not just historical background but a discussion on the possible modes of failure, potential outcomes and the effect on US interests of any changes in Egypt. It also incorporates discussion of the risk/rewards of the US foreign policy maintaining the status quo or pushing harder for some type of democracy/democratic transition. At 57 pages of text (and another 30 of footnotes and charts), the majority can be read/skimmed in about 30 minutes.

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821@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Mon, 31 Jan 2011 13:16:00 -0800
What Did Mark Penn Know About Tucson Shooting? http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=820&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=820&w=politics#comm Hardball, claiming that Obama would need an event like the Oklahoma City bombing to reconnect with the American people. It never made it into the 'main stream' media but did provide some fodder for the usual left/right blog bickering. With the assassination attempt yesterday on congress critter Giffords (and 19 others, 6 successfully), the conspiracy theorist would definitely say what did Mark Penn know and when did he know it? On the other hand, knowing how bad some of Penn's past analysis has been, we will take a wait and see approach. What will Obama say? And will he get a decisive bounce in the polls out of it? Still, the new Congress should drag Penn's ass up to the Hill and question him on these statements as God only knows if the political affiliations had been reversed the Dems would have him hanging by now.






On another note, we found the media coverage which focused exclusively on Giffords with little if any mention of the 19 others shot, 6 fatally, disturbing. Public officials, from dog catcher to city council member to mayor or higher, all accept the risks that come with their position. The attack on Giffords while sad, is no more so than a cop who has been seriously wounded or a marine caught in an IED attack. What is tragic though is the collateral damage to civilians who were in attendance. But our media is so caught up in celebrity they focused only on the plight of Giffords. Again we see that the elites, be they in media, corporations or government are treated differently than the citizens who make their positions possible. Want another example? From AP
Prosecutors charged Loughner with one count of attempted assassination of a member of Congress, two counts of killing an employee of the federal government and two counts of attempting to killing a federal employee. More charges are expected.
Nice. Once again, the non-govenment dead and wounded are of secondary concern even when it comes to filing the initial charges. The State of Arizona should have been the first to file for crimes against their citizens, not the Feds for the attempt on Gifford and the killing of Judge Roll and Gifford's staffer. Is it any wonder why there is such a backlash against government in general and Washington in particular?

Copyright 2004-2011 by Gedanken Experiment (previously Rant Street), all rights reserved. Full terms of use at www.gedankenexperiment.dk ]]>
820@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Sun, 09 Jan 2011 23:58:00 -0800
The New Stasi? http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=819&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=819&w=politics#comm in, they probably have some good ideas on how to keep unwanted people out too. Instead, our wonderful federal government in Washington has taken a cue from The Ministry for State Security - the Stasi. Over the top? An exaggeration you say? Well, according to the Washington Post
the FBI is...building a vast repository controlled by people who work in a top-secret vault on the fourth floor of the J. Edgar Hoover FBI Building in Washington. This one stores the profiles of tens of thousands of Americans and legal residents who are not accused of any crime. What they have done is appear to be acting suspiciously to a town sheriff, a traffic cop or even a neighbor.

If the new Nationwide Suspicious Activity Reporting Initiative, or SAR, works as intended, the Guardian database may someday hold files forwarded by all police departments across the country in America's continuing search for terrorists within its borders.

The effectiveness of this database depends, in fact, on collecting the identities of people who are not known criminals or terrorists - and on being able to quickly compile in-depth profiles of them....

As of December, there were 161,948 suspicious activity files in the classified Guardian database, mostly leads from FBI headquarters and state field offices. Two years ago, the bureau set up an unclassified section of the database so state and local agencies could send in suspicious incident reports and review those submitted by their counterparts in other states. Some 890 state and local agencies have sent in 7,197 reports so far.

So far there have been no convictions and five (5) arrests made as a result of this database.

But the figures you say pale in comparison to the Stasi. True, so far. Let's not forget that the Stasi began in 1950 and didn't get up to speed overnight either. But, for the sake of argument, lets compare their 'accomplishments' as per wikipedia:
Between 1950 and 1989, the Stasi employed a total of 274,000 persons in an effort to root out the class enemy. In 1989, the Stasi employed 91,015 persons full time, including 2,000 fully employed unofficial collaborators, 13,073 soldiers and 2,232 officers of GDR army, along with 173,081 unofficial informants inside GDR and 1,553 informants in West Germany. In terms of the identity of inoffizielle Mitarbeiter (IMs) Stasi informants, by 1995, 174,000 had been identified, which approximated 2.5% of East Germany's population between the ages of 18 and 60. 10,000 IMs were under 18 years of age.

While these calculations were from official records, according to the federal commissioner in charge of the Stasi archives in Berlin, because many such records were destroyed, there were likely closer to 500,000 Stasi informers. A former Stasi colonel who served in the counterintelligence directorate estimated that the figure could be as high as 2 million if occasional informants were included.

Stasi efforts with one agent per 166 citizens dwarfed, for example, the Nazi Gestapo, which employed only 40,000 officials to watch a population of 80 million (one officer per 2,000 citizens) and the Soviet KGB, which employed 480,000 full time agents to oversee a nation of 280 million residents (one agent per 583 citizens). When informants were included, the Stasi had one spy per 66 citizens of East Germany. When part-time informer adults were included, the figures reach approximately one spy per 6.5 citizens.

Impressive! But what of the FBI? As of December 2010, 35,536 employees vs. a population estimated at 308.7 million or 1 employee per 8,687 of population. So yes, the FBI has some catching up to do in raw terms though the Stasi were a paper, pencil and filing cabinet organization. It is probably safe to venture that the FBI does far more with less thanks to high speed computer networks and enormous real-time databases. The effective ratio could easily be 1:868 or lower. Remember, the Federal Reserve and Alan Greenspan, in particular, long have championed the positive effects of the digital age on worker productivity. And we haven't even included those parts of that other behemoth, DHS, which are involved in similar efforts.

It is a slippery, icy slope people and it is always winter in Washington. Don't think for a minute you are in the clear just because you aren't a "terrorist."

Copyright 2004-2011 by Gedanken Experiment (previously Rant Street), all rights reserved. Full terms of use at www.gedankenexperiment.dk ]]>
819@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Tue, 21 Dec 2010 17:59:00 -0800
A Rare Moment of Agreement http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=818&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=818&w=politics#comm article I can fully agree. When even Krauthammer agrees that the TSA and DHS are doing security theater at a great waste of tax payer money and time, I think we have all made progress. One can only hope that 'Don't touch my junk!' becomes a rallying cry at all airport security checkpoints from this point on. Enough is enough.

Copyright 2004-2011 by Gedanken Experiment (previously Rant Street), all rights reserved. Full terms of use at www.gedankenexperiment.dk ]]>
818@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Fri, 19 Nov 2010 14:42:00 -0800
No One Left Behind http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=815&w=politics http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=815&w=politics#comm
From the DOD press release:
In November 1946, a French soldier working in the Parroy Forest found debris associated with an M-10 vehicle and human remains, which were turned over to the American Graves Registration Command (AGRC). The remains were buried as unknowns in the Ardennes American Cemetery in Belgium. A year later, the AGRC returned to the Parroy Forest to conduct interviews and search for additional remains. Investigators noted at that time that all remains of U.S. soldiers had reportedly been removed and that the soldiers were likely buried elsewhere as unknowns.

In 2003, a French citizen exploring the Parroy Forest discovered human remains and an identification bracelet engraved with Hellums' name. The information was eventually sent to the Joint POW/MIA Accounting Command (JPAC). In April 2006, the man turned over the items to a JPAC team working in Europe.

Historians at DPMO and JPAC continued their research on the burials at the Ardennes Cemetery, and drew a correlation to those unknowns that had been removed from the 1944 battle site. In early 2008, JPAC disinterred these remains and began their forensic review.

Among other forensic identification tools and circumstantial evidence, scientists from JPAC used dental comparisons for both men and the Armed Forces DNA Identification Laboratory used mitochondrial DNA, which matched that of each soldier's relatives in the identification of their remains.


It took 66 years but ultimately the remains were found and properly identified and returned to the closest next of kin. What is some what disheartening is that over 72,000 soldiers who served in WWII remain unaccounted for - a reduction of only 7,000 from the 79,000 known to be missing immediately after the conclusion of hostilities in Europe and the Far East. Even with the sophisticated tools that are now available, the pace of recovery and identification seems glacial. But time is running out as the parents of these soldiers are near certain to be deceased and even a good portion of their children, who would now be in their late 60s to late 70s. Hopefully a few more will be identified soon.

Copyright 2004-2011 by Gedanken Experiment (previously Rant Street), all rights reserved. Full terms of use at www.gedankenexperiment.dk ]]>
815@http://gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/ politics Thu, 07 Oct 2010 16:02:00 -0800